Packers have significantly reduced the number of cattle that they have contracted for delivery in the next few months. A number of factors have likely contributed to this: a) demand is highly uncertain and forward beef sales are sharply lower than a year ago; b) front end cattle supplies are heavy; c) slaughter capacity has increased but COVID remains a major wild card that could further disrupt slaughter and especially line speeds. Ultimately, if the packer does not see much supply risk and faces uncertain demand, the result is a decline in forward contracted cattle.
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dlr-06-03-20