COVID-19 impacts at the slaughter level could be masking the fundamental liquidation phase happening in cow-calf country. A quick look at total cow harvest (beef and dairy type) suggests year-to-date figures are even with a year ago even after several weeks of dampened harvest levels. However, every week in 2020 has been above the five year average by at least 5%. The highest week was 20% over the five year average for the same week. Beef cow slaughter on the other hand is 2% ahead of 2019 year-to-date. Before slaughter plant closures began, weekly beef cow harvest was running well ahead of year ago levels.
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