• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
Texas and Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association

Texas and Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association

To Honor and Protect the Ranching Way of Life

  • Home
  • Who We Are
    • Why Join
    • Leadership
    • Staff
    • Partners
    • FAQs
    • Newsroom
    • Sponsorships
    • Employment
  • What We Do
    • Theft and Law
    • Issues and Policy
    • Education
    • Students and Young Professionals
    • The Cattleman Magazine
    • Disaster Relief Fund
    • Cattle Raisers Insurance
    • Cattle Raisers Trading Co
  • Events
    • Cattle Raisers Convention
    • Policy Conference
    • Summer Meeting
    • Ranch Gatherings
    • Ranching 101
  • Join
  • Member Center
  • TSCRA Store
  • Show Search
Hide Search

Livestock Wx for 6/19/20: The latest seasonal outlooks

June 19, 2020

Temperature Outlook

The temperature outlook Jul-Aug-Sep predicts fairly strong odds of above normal temperatures for most of the lower 48 states, with the one exception being parts of the Central Mississippi Valley, where there is very little signs of either a warmer or cooler than normal Jul-Aug-Sep.

Precipitation Outlook

The Jul-Aug-Sep precipitation outlook indicates a tilt in the odds of above normal precipitation for much of the eastern part of the country starting from parts of the eastern Great Plains. 

For much of the Pacific Northwest, the Northern Rockies, and extending southeastward into the Central Rockies, parts of the northern Great Basin, and northeast regions of the Four Corners region there is a tilt in the odds of below normal precipitation over the next three months. Equal chances of below, near and above normal precipitation are indicated for areas of the Southwest CONUS, the western Great Plains, the Upper Mississippi Valley, the Great Lakes region, and the Northeast.

Jul-Aug-Sep Drought Outlook (excerpt from the latest Seasonal Drought Outlook)

Improvement or removal is slightly favored for parts of Oklahoma and northwest Texas due in part to an expected increase in rainfall during the latter half of June. Farther to the west across the Texas Panhandle and eastern New Mexico, that improvement is related to a relatively wet climatology, associated with the Southwest Monsoon. Nearly half of the annual precipitation typically occurs during July-August-September across eastern New Mexico. Drought is likely to persist and expand across the West and northern to central High Plains through the summer. A major factor in the drought expansion is the likelihood of above normal temperatures during the outlook period.

Beef Cows and the Corn Belt

Drought coverage rapidly developed and intensified across the southern Great Plains and eastern New Mexico since May (see map below), due to insufficient rainfall, above normal temperatures, and periods of enhanced winds.

Drought is not expected to develop across the Corn Belt and Midwest over the next three months, however, it doesn’t mean a shorter-term flash drought could develop given the higher than normal temperatures expected through September.

For beef cows, approximately 18% of the beef cow inventory is currently in drought based on the U.S. Drought Monitor.  Looking back at NOAA’s May-Apr-Jun Seasonal Drought Outlook, around 10% of the beef cow inventory was expected to be in drought by the end of June.  The forecast missed the mark by about eight percentage points.  The reason has to do with the rapidly developing drought in southeast Colorado, the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandle and the more recent drought development in Wyoming and Montana.

Looking at the current Seasonal Drought Outlook, approximately 17% of beef cows are expected to be in drought by the end of September, which is about a one percentage point improvement from our current situation.  The reason for the improvement is due to expected drought improvement in parts of Oklahoma and the Texas’ South/Rolling Plains.

Written by:
kristin
Published on:
June 19, 2020

Categories: Livestock Wx, Natural Resources, The Cattleman Now, The Cattleman Now - App, Weather

Recent Posts

Crime watch: Black Angus bull missing in Lavaca County

June 9, 2025

Texas & Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association Special Ranger Robert Fields, District 25 in …

Continue Reading about Crime watch: Black Angus bull missing in Lavaca County

Crime watch: Equipment stolen in Colorado County

June 9, 2025

Texas & Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association Special Ranger Nathan Hale, District 24 in …

Continue Reading about Crime watch: Equipment stolen in Colorado County

Crime watch: Heifers missing in Colorado County

June 9, 2025

Texas & Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association Special Ranger Nathan Hale, District 24 in …

Continue Reading about Crime watch: Heifers missing in Colorado County

Footer

Who We Are

Why Join
Leadership
Staff
Partners
FAQs
Newsroom
Sponsorships
Employment

What We Do

Theft and Law
Issues and Policy
Education
Students and Young Professionals
The Cattleman Magazine
Cattle Raisers Insurance
Cattle Raisers Trading Co.
Texas and Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association

Information

Cattle Raisers Blog
News Releases
Bereavements
Events
Sponsorships & Advertisement
Tip Hotline
Get Involved
Links

Membership

Membership Center
Membership Center Instructions
Join
Renew
  • Email
  • Facebook
  • Instagram
  • Twitter
  • YouTube

PO BOX 101988
FORT WORTH, TX 76185

1-800-242-7820

© 2023 Texas & Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association; All Rights Reserved.

COPYRIGHT | PRIVACY POLICY | TERMS OF USE