Wondering whether a hurricane will affect your town is a good question but one that can’t be accurately answered on a seasonal basis. NOAA’s seasonal outlook, issued in May and updated in August, predicts the number of named tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes expected over the entire Atlantic basin during the six-month season. But that’s where the reliable long-range science stops. The ability to forecast the location and strength of a landfalling hurricane is based on a variety of factors, details that present themselves days, not months, ahead of the storm. –NOAA Read more…